British Pound (Globex)
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Contract Specifications:B6,CME
Trading Unit: 62,500 British Pounds
Tick Size: $0.0001 BP = $6.25
Quoted Units: US $ per British Pound
Initial Margin: $1,890   Maint Margin: $1,400
Contract Months: Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec
First Notice Day: Next business day after last trading date.
Last Trading Day: 2nd business day before third Wednesday.
Trading Hours: Globex: Mon/Thur 5:00 pm - 4:00 pm Sun & Hol 3:00 p.m.-4:00 p.m.
All Chicago time.
Daily Limit: none

Analysis

Fri 4/20/18

Bollinger Bands Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The Bollinger Bands are indicating an overbought market. An overbought reading occurs when the close is nearer to the top band than the bottom band.

Additional Analysis: The market is in overbought territory. And, the market just signaled a 9 bar bearish key reversal adding to the chance for a decline here.

Mov Avg 3 lines Indicator:

Note: In evaluating the short term, plot1 represents the fast moving average, and plot2 is the slow moving average. For the longer term analysis, plot2 is the fast moving average and plot3 is the slow moving average

Conventional Interpretation - Short Term: The market is bullish because the fast moving average is above the slow moving average.

Additional Analysis - Short Term: Recently the market has been extremely bullish, however currently the market has lost a some of its bullishness due to the following: the fast moving average slope is down from the previous bar, price is below the fast moving average. Its possible that we may see a market pullback here. if so, the pullback might turn out to be a good buying opportunity.

Conventional Interpretation - Long Term: The market is bullish because the fast moving average is above the slow moving average.

Additional Analysis - Long Term: The market is EXTREMELY BULLISH. Everything in this indicator is pointing to higher prices: the fast average is above the slow average; the fast average is on an upward slope from the previous bar; the slow average is on an upward slope from the previous bar; and price is above the fast average and the slow average. WARNING: Market momentum slowed down on this bar. This is indicated by the fact that the difference between the two moving aveage lines is smaller on this bar than on the previous bar. Its possible that we may see a market pullback.

Mov Avg-Exponential Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Price is above the moving average so the trend is up.

Additional Analysis: Market trend is UP.

Stochastic - Slow Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The SlowK line crossed below the SlowD line; this indicates a sell signal.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend is UP. The short term trend looks a little toppy. A possible short term down move may occur. A good upward move is possible without SlowK being overbought. However, a down move in SlowK for this bar is a little concerning short term.

Swing Index Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The swing index has crossed zero, identifying this bar as a short term pivot point.

Additional Analysis: No additional interpretation.

Volatility Indicator: Volatility is in a downtrend based on a 9 bar moving average.

Volume Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: No indications for volume.

Additional Analysis: The long term market trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term market trend, based on a 5 bar moving average, is UP. A bearish key reversal off a 5 bar new high here here suggests a decline.

Comm Channel Index Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: CCI (85.20) has crossed back into the neutral region, issuing a signal to liquidate long positions and return to the sidelines.

Additional Analysis: CCI often misses the early part of a new move because of the large amount of time spent out of the market in the neutral region. Initiating signals when CCI crosses zero, rather than waiting for CCI to cross out of the neutral region can often help overcome this. Given this interpretation,CCI (85.20) is bullish, but has begun showing some weakness. Begin looking for an attractive point to liquidate long positions and return to the sidelines.

MACD Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: MACD has issued a bearish signal. A bearish signal is generated when the FastMA crosses below the SlowMA, as it has here.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is UP. MACD has issued a bearish signal, suggesting a reversal of the current upward trend. However, MACD tends to be better at picking bottoms than tops. Look for evidenced weakness before establishing any bearish positions here. Confirming this, the market just signaled a bearish key reversal off a 9 bar new high.

Momentum Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Momentum (0.02) is above zero, indicating an overbought market.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is UP. Momentum is indicating an overbought market. And, a bearish key reversal off a 9 bar new high here suggests a downside move is possible.

Open Interest Indicator: Open Interest is trending up based on a 9 bar moving average. This is normal as delivery approaches and indicates increased liquidity.

Rate of change Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Rate of Change (1.62) is above zero, indicating an overbought market.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is UP. Rate of Change is indicating an overbought market. And, a bear key reversal off a 9 bar new high here suggests a downside move is possible.

RSI Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: RSI is in neutral territory. (RSI is at 57.81). This indicator issues buy signals when the RSI line dips below the bottom line into the oversold zone; a sell signal is generated when the RSI rises above the top line into the overbought zone.

Additional Analysis: RSI is somewhat overbought (RSI is at 57.81) suggesting a possible market decline. Further, a bearish key reversal off a 9 bar new high here makes a downturn in the market even more likely

Stochastic - Fast Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The SlowK line crossed below the SlowD line; this indicates a sell signal.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend is UP. The short term trend looks a little toppy. A possible short term down move may occur. A good upward move is possible without SlowK being overbought. However, a down move in SlowK for this bar is a little concerning short term.

Important: This commentary is designed solely as a training tool for the understanding of technical analysis of the financial markets. It is not designed to provide any investment or other professional advice.


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