Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Daily Price Chart

Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
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Analysis

Wed 9/2/15

Mov Avg-Exponential Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Price is below the moving average so the trend is down.

Additional Analysis: CAUTION: The market trend has changed direction. Now the market trend is DOWN!

Mov Avg 3 lines Indicator:

Note: In evaluating the short term, plot1 represents the fast moving average, and plot2 is the slow moving average. For the longer term analysis, plot2 is the fast moving average and plot3 is the slow moving average

Conventional Interpretation - Short Term: The market is bearish because the fast moving average is below the slow moving average.

Additional Analysis - Short Term: The market is EXTREMELY BEARISH. Everything in this indicator is pointing to lower prices: the fast average is below the slow average; the fast average is on a downward slope from the previous bar; the slow average is on a downward slope from the previous bar; and price is below the fast average and the slow average.

Conventional Interpretation - Long Term: The market is bearish because the fast moving average is below the slow moving average.

Additional Analysis - Long Term: The market is EXTREMELY BEARISH. Everything in this indicator is pointing to lower prices: the fast average is below the slow average; the fast average is on a downward slope from the previous bar; the slow average is on a downward slope from the previous bar; and price is below the fast average and the slow average.

Bollinger Bands Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The Bollinger Bands are indicating an oversold condition. An oversold reading occurs when the close is nearer to the bottom band than the top band.

Additional Analysis: Volatility appears to be picking up a bit, as evidenced by an increasing distance between the upper and lower bands over the last few bars. The market appears oversold, but may continue to become more oversold before reversing. Look for some price strength before taking any bullish positions based on this indicator.

Volatility Indicator: Volatility is trending up based on a 9 bar moving average.

Momentum Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Momentum (-6619.11) is below zero, indicating an oversold market.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is DOWN. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is DOWN. Momentum is in bearish territory. And, the market put in a 45 bar new low here. More lows are possible.

Rate of change Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Rate of Change (-37.33) is below zero, indicating an oversold market.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is DOWN. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is DOWN. Rate of Change is in bearish territory. And, the market put in a 45 bar new low here. More lows are possible.

Comm Channel Index Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: CCI (-666.67) has crossed into the bearish region, issuing a sell short signal. CCI will signal liquidation of this position when the CCI value crosses back into the neutral center region.

Additional Analysis: CCI often misses the early part of a new move because of the large amount of time spent out of the market in the neutral region. Initiating signals when CCI crosses zero, rather than waiting for CCI to cross out of the neutral region can often help overcome this. Given this interpretation, CCI (-666.67) has crossed below zero, issuing a signal to liquidate long positions and initiate short positions.Adding to this bearish view, the market has put in a 45 bar new low here.

ADX Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: ADX measures the strength of the prevailing trend. A rising ADX indicates a strong underlying trend while a falling ADX suggests a weakening trend which is subject to reversal. Currently the ADX is rising.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is down. A rising ADX indicates that the current trend is healthy and should remain intact. Look for the current downtrending market to continue.

DMI Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: DMI signals a bearish trade when the DMI+crosses below the DMI-, as it has here.

Additional Analysis: DMI has signaled a bearish trade and the ADX is rising. And, the market put in a 45 bar new low here, adding to the bearish case. A good downside move from here is possible.

RSI Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: RSI (9.50) has issued a bullish signal. When RSI crosses below the oversold line (currently set at 20.00) a buy signal is issued.

Additional Analysis: RSI is in oversold territory (RSI is at 9.50). However, the market may continue to become more oversold, particularly given the 45 bar new low here. Look for an upturn in RSI before interpreting a bullish signal from this indicator.

MACD Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: MACD has issued a bearish signal. A bearish signal is generated when the FastMA crosses below the SlowMA, as it has here.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is DOWN. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is DOWN. MACD has issued a bearish signal, since the FastMA has just crossed below the SlowMA. With the current trend to the downside, this suggests that prices will continue to decline for a time.

Open Interest Indicator: No open interest value in the database for this bar. Note: Open interest not available for all data types.

Volume Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The current new low is accompanied by increasing volume, suggesting further new lows are ahead.

Additional Analysis: The long term market trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is DOWN. The short term market trend, based on a 5 bar moving average, is DOWN.The current new low is accompanied by increasing volume, suggesting further new lows are ahead. However, be careful to avoid selling an oversold market. RSI or MACD may be helpful here.

Stochastic - Fast Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The SlowK line crossed below the SlowD line; this indicates a sell signal. The stochastic is in oversold territory (SlowK is at 0.00; this indicates a possible market rise is coming.

Additional Analysis: CAUTION: The long term trend has changed direction. Now the long term trend is DOWN! The short term trend is DOWN. Don't be fooled looking for a bottom here because of this indicator. The stochastic indicator is only good at picking bottoms in a Bull Market (in which we are not). Exit short positions only if some other indicator tells you to.

Stochastic - Slow Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The SlowK line crossed below the SlowD line; this indicates a sell signal.

Additional Analysis: CAUTION: The long term trend has changed direction. Now the long term trend is DOWN! The market looks weak both long term and short term. The SlowK is at (41.24). A good downward move is possible without SlowK being oversold.

Swing Index Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The swing index has crossed zero, identifying this bar as a short term pivot point.

Additional Analysis: No additional interpretation.

Important: This commentary is designed solely as a training tool for the understanding of technical analysis of the financial markets. It is not designed to provide any investment or other professional advice.

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