S&P 500 E-mini Daily Commodity Futures Price Chart: Sept. 2014 : CME

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Daily Commodity Futures Price Chart: Sept. 2014

S&P 500 E-mini (CME)

TFC Commodity Charts


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Contract Specifications:ES,CME
Trading Unit: $50 x S&P 500 Stock Index
Tick Size: .01 index points = $0.50
Quoted Units: index points, expressed to two decimals
Initial Margin: $4,500   Maint Margin: $3,600
Contract Months: Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec
First Notice Day: Not applicable (cash settled contract)
Last Trading Day: Third Friday of the contract month.
Trading Hours: 8:30 A.M. - 3:15 P.M. Globex:3:45 P.M. - 3:15 P.M. Mon - Thrs; 5:30 P.M. - 3:15 P.M. Sun + Hol.
Trading closes at 3:15 p.m. on last day of trading.
Daily Limit: 5%

Analysis

Tue 7/29/14

Bollinger Bands Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The Bollinger Bands are indicating an oversold condition. An oversold reading occurs when the close is nearer to the bottom band than the top band.

Additional Analysis: The market appears oversold, but may continue to become more oversold before reversing. Look for some price strength before taking any bullish positions based on this indicator.

Mov Avg 3 lines Indicator:

Note: In evaluating the short term, plot1 represents the fast moving average, and plot2 is the slow moving average. For the longer term analysis, plot2 is the fast moving average and plot3 is the slow moving average

Conventional Interpretation - Short Term: The market is bullish because the fast moving average is above the slow moving average.

Additional Analysis - Short Term: Recently the market has been extremely bullish, however currently the market has lost a some of its bullishness due to the following: the fast moving average slope is down from the previous bar, the slow moving average slope is down from the previous bar, price is below the fast moving average, price is below the slow moving average. Its possible that we may see a market pullback here. if so, the pullback might turn out to be a good buying opportunity.

Conventional Interpretation - Long Term: The market is bullish because the fast moving average is above the slow moving average.

Additional Analysis - Long Term: Recently the market has been extremely bullish, however currently the market has lost a some of its bullishness due to the following: the fast moving average slope is down from the previous bar, the slow moving average slope is down from the previous bar, price is below the fast moving average, price is below the slow moving average. Its possible that we may see a market pullback here. if so, the pullback might turn out to be a good buying opportunity.

Mov Avg-Exponential Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Price is below the moving average so the trend is down.

Additional Analysis: CAUTION: The market trend has changed direction. Now the market trend is DOWN!

Stochastic - Fast Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The stochastic is bearish because the SlowK line is below the SlowD line.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend is UP. The short term trend looks a little toppy. A possible short term down move may occur. A good upward move is possible without SlowK being overbought. However, a down move in SlowK for this bar is a little concerning short term.

Stochastic - Slow Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The stochastic is bearish because the SlowK line is below the SlowD line.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend is UP. The short term trend looks a little toppy. A possible short term down move may occur.

Swing Index Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The swing index has crossed zero, identifying this bar as a short term pivot point.

Additional Analysis: No additional interpretation.

Volatility Indicator: Volatility is trending up based on a 9 bar moving average.

Volume Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: No indications for volume.

Additional Analysis: The long term market trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term market trend, based on a 5 bar moving average, is DOWN. Volume is trending higher, allowing for a pick up in volatility.

RSI Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: RSI is in neutral territory. (RSI is at 51.34). This indicator issues buy signals when the RSI line dips below the bottom line into the oversold zone; a sell signal is generated when the RSI rises above the top line into the overbought zone.

Additional Analysis: RSI is somewhat overbought (RSI is at 51.34). However, this by itself isn't a strong enough indication to signal a trade. Look for additional evidence before getting too bearish here.

ADX Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: ADX measures the strength of the prevailing trend. A rising ADX indicates a strong underlying trend while a falling ADX suggests a weakening trend which is subject to reversal. Currently the ADX is falling.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is up. However, ADX has turned down, indicating a deterioration in the current trend. Look for the market to get a bit choppy here. A decline from current levels is possible here.

Comm Channel Index Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: CCI (0.53) is in neutral territory. A signal is generated only when the CCI crosses above or below the neutral center region.

Additional Analysis: CCI often misses the early part of a new move because of the large amount of time spent out of the market in the neutral region. Initiating signals when CCI crosses zero, rather than waiting for CCI to cross out of the neutral region can often help overcome this. Given this interpretation, CCI (0.53) is currently long. The current long position position will be reversed when the CCI crosses below zero.

DMI Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: DMI+ is less than DMI-, indicating a downward trending market. A signal is generated when DMI+ crosses DMI-.

Additional Analysis: DMI is in bearish territory. The ADX has turned downward indicating diminishing confidence in the current trend. Consider liquidating any bearish positions here.

MACD Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: MACD is in bearish territory, but has not issued a signal here. MACD generates a signal when the FastMA crosses above or below the SlowMA.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is DOWN. MACD is in bearish territory.

Momentum Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Momentum (-5.00) is below zero, indicating an oversold market.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is DOWN. Momentum is in bearish territory.

Open Interest Indicator: Open Interest is trending up based on a 9 bar moving average. This is normal as delivery approaches and indicates increased liquidity.

Rate of change Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Rate of Change (-0.25) is below zero, indicating an oversold market.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is DOWN. Rate of Change is in bearish territory.

Important: This commentary is designed solely as a training tool for the understanding of technical analysis of the financial markets. It is not designed to provide any investment or other professional advice.

Sponsor
Lt Crude 100.93
Nat Gas 3.828
Corn 370
Cotton #2 64.77
Gold 1299.2
Copper 3.2180
Euro 1.34140
USD Index 81.295
SP500 E-mini 1965.50
DJIA E-mini 16869
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