Natural Gas (Globex) Intraday Commodity Futures Price Chart: Nov. 2015 : NYMEX

Natural Gas (Globex)
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Intraday Commodity Futures Price Chart: Nov. 2015

Natural Gas (Globex) (NYMEX)

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Market data delayed 10 minutes as per exchange requirements.




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Contract Specifications:NG_,NYMEX
Trading Unit: 10,000 million British thermal units (MMBtu)
Tick Size: $0.001 (0.1 c) per MMBtu ($10 per contract)
Quoted Units: US $ per mmBtu
Initial Margin: $9,788   Maint Margin: $7,250
Contract Months: All 12 months.
First Notice Day: Business day after last trading day.
Last Trading Day: One business day before the termination of the underlying futures contract.
Trading Hours: Electronic trading: 6:00 PM until 5:15 PM on CME Globex Platform.
Daily Limit: $3.00 per mmBtu ($30,000 per contract)

Analysis

Thu 11/20/14

Bollinger Bands Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The Bollinger Bands are indicating an overbought market. An overbought reading occurs when the close is nearer to the top band than the bottom band.

Additional Analysis: Volatility appears to be declining, as evidenced by a decreasing distance between the upper and lower bands over the last few bars. The market is in overbought territory.

Mov Avg 3 lines Indicator:

Note: In evaluating the short term, plot1 represents the fast moving average, and plot2 is the slow moving average. For the longer term analysis, plot2 is the fast moving average and plot3 is the slow moving average

Conventional Interpretation - Short Term: The market is bullish because the fast moving average is above the slow moving average.

Additional Analysis - Short Term: Even though based on conventional interpretation the market is technically bullish, we will not classify it as extremely bullish until the following occurs: the slow moving average slope is up from previous bar, price goes above the fast moving average.

Conventional Interpretation - Long Term: The market is bearish because the fast moving average is below the slow moving average.

Additional Analysis - Long Term: Even though based on conventional interpretation the market is technically bearish, we will not classify it as extremely bearish until the following occurs: the slow moving average slope is down from previous bar, price goes below the fast moving average, price goes below the slow moving average.

Mov Avg-Exponential Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Price is above the moving average so the trend is up.

Additional Analysis: Market trend is UP.

RSI Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: RSI is in neutral territory. (RSI is at 50.12). This indicator issues buy signals when the RSI line dips below the bottom line into the oversold zone; a sell signal is generated when the RSI rises above the top line into the overbought zone.

Additional Analysis: RSI is somewhat overbought (RSI is at 50.12). However, this by itself isn't a strong enough indication to signal a trade. Look for additional evidence before getting too bearish here.

Stochastic - Fast Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The SlowK line crossed above the SlowD line; this indicates a buy signal.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend is DOWN. The short term trend looks a little bottomy. The fact that the last two bars of SlowK are up and we are trading in a low area of the stochastic is a little bullish short term. A possible short term up move may occur.

Stochastic - Slow Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The stochastic is bearish because the SlowK line is below the SlowD line.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend is DOWN. A good downward move is possible without SlowK being oversold. However, an upmove in SlowK for this bar is a little concerning short term.

Swing Index Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The swing index is most often used to identify bars where the market is likely to change direction. A signal is generated when the swing index crosses zero. No signal has been generated here.

Additional Analysis: No additional interpretation.

Volatility Indicator: Volatility is trending up based on a 9 bar moving average.

Volume Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: No indications for volume.

Additional Analysis: The long term market trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is DOWN. The short term market trend, based on a 5 bar moving average, is UP. Volume is trending lower. In general this is bearish.

ADX Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: ADX measures the strength of the prevailing trend. A rising ADX indicates a strong underlying trend while a falling ADX suggests a weakening trend which is subject to reversal. Currently the ADX is falling.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is down. A falling ADX indicates that the current trend is weakening and may possibly reverse. Look for a choppy market ahead.

Comm Channel Index Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: CCI (2.56) is in neutral territory. A signal is generated only when the CCI crosses above or below the neutral center region.

Additional Analysis: CCI often misses the early part of a new move because of the large amount of time spent out of the market in the neutral region. Initiating signals when CCI crosses zero, rather than waiting for CCI to cross out of the neutral region can often help overcome this. Given this interpretation,CCI (2.56) is bullish, but has begun showing some weakness. Begin looking for an attractive point to liquidate long positions and return to the sidelines.

DMI Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: DMI signals a bearish trade when the DMI+crosses below the DMI-, as it has here.

Additional Analysis: DMI has signaled a bearish trade. However, the ADX has weakened making this trade less attractive. Look for outside confirmation before taking a bearish position here, or wait for an upturn in ADX.

MACD Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: MACD is in bullish territory, but has not issued a signal here. MACD generates a signal when the FastMA crosses above or below the SlowMA.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is DOWN. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is DOWN. MACD is in bullish territory.

Momentum Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Momentum (-0.08) is below zero, indicating an oversold market.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is DOWN. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is DOWN. Momentum is in bearish territory.

Open Interest Indicator: Open Interest is trending up based on a 9 bar moving average. This is normal as delivery approaches and indicates increased liquidity.

Rate of change Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Rate of Change (-2.12) is below zero, indicating an oversold market.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is DOWN. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is DOWN. Rate of Change is in bearish territory.

Important: This commentary is designed solely as a training tool for the understanding of technical analysis of the financial markets. It is not designed to provide any investment or other professional advice.

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